7 News Belize

Forecasts Are Fluid Because Weather Is Dynamic
posted (November 14, 2024)

And while Belizeans are hoping that it remains a low grade tropical storm at landfall, the forecast and storm tracks are unpredictable - more so than usual for this story.

Gordon stressed that Belizeans must remain vigilant, but also urged them to trust their local MET officer first, since they accurately predicted the strength of Tropical Storm Nadine on October 19th.

Ronald Gordon, Chief MET Officer
"I want to make it also clear that yesterday the forecast was suggesting the system coming ashore on Monday, now, the models have changed and have it coming in late Sunday. These are things that we advise the public always forecast changes from time to time. The weather is dynamic. It is fluid. Things change as the models get more information, they make different forecasts and hopefully more accurate forecast."

"But the forecasts for these systems have increased with the confidence has increased tremendously over the years and I think the public is just catching on to it. There was the era that we used to evacuate an entire island just for a minor threat. Well, we are beyond there, the science has improved significantly. That we can now determine that after some level of confidence that these systems are coming at a certain threshold."

"I personally would not take drastic actions for every system, every x that appears on the map out there."

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